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An Early Look at 2010
Metropolitan Water Rates
With continuing drought, rising
supply acquisition costs, increasing operating expenses, and pending
changes to the Interim Agricultural Water Program, Metropolitan has
accelerated its rate setting process and begun to develop preliminary
estimated "average" water rates for 2010. When it adopted rates
for 2009 this past spring, Metropolitan projected that 2010 Tier 1 rates
would increase by about 5%, however, current estimates of the increase
in Tier 1 rates for 2010 range from 15% to 21%.
In early September, Metropolitan
staff presented rate scenarios for 2010 to its Budget and Finance Committee.
The two primary scenarios considered the following factors:
Projected demands
- Available imported
and storage supplies
- Additional water
supply costs, especially estimated water transfer costs
- SWP allocations
in 2009 through 2011
- The timing for refilling
of Metropolitan's in-basin surface and groundwater storage
Following are the rate projections
for treated, Tier 1 supplies presented at the September committee meeting,
plus the 2010 rate projections included in Metropolitan's 2009 rate
setting process this past year:
Projected
Treated Tier 1 Rates
| |
Jan. 1, 2009 |
Jan. 1, 2010 |
Jan. 1, 2011 |
| 2008 Rate Setting Process |
$579 |
$606 |
$635 |
| 15% increase for 2010, 4% thereafter |
$579 |
$666 |
$692 |
| 21% increase for 2010, 4% thereafter |
$579 |
$701 |
$729 |
Both current scenarios assume
an average SWP allocation of 54% in 2009 and 64% in 2010. If the SWP
allocation is significantly lower, it will likely result in larger rate
increases because of larger water acquisition costs.
Current participants in Metropolitan's
Interim Agricultural Water Program (IAWP) receive a discount of $90/AF
on untreated, Tier 1 rates and $114/AF on the treated, Tier 1 rates.
As discussed in the cover story, in June 2008, Metropolitan's Board
authorized staff to initiate a review of the IAWP and to bring recommendations
on changes to the program by the end of 2008. Following this review,
Metropolitan staff has proposed revisions to the program that will be
considered by the Board at its October 2008 meeting. These revisions
include a five-year phase out of the program starting in 2009. The IAWP
discount would be gradually reduced during the phase-out period, and
the required delivery cutbacks would be adjusted as the discount diminishes.
Under the Metropolitan proposal, the IAWP discount would be phased out
as shown below:
| Calendar
Year |
Treated
IAWP
Discount |
Untreated
IAWP
Discount |
| 2009 |
$114/AF |
$90/AF |
| 2010 |
$86/AF |
$68/AF |
| 2011 |
$57/AF |
$45/AF |
| 2012 |
$29/AF |
$23/AF |
| 2013 |
$0/AF |
$0/AF |
Below are the projected IAWP
rates based on the projected rates assumptions from above and the proposed
phase out of the IAWP discount:
Projected
Untreated, IAWP Rates
| |
01/01/09 |
01/01/10 |
01/01/11 |
01/01/12 |
01/01/13 |
| 15% increase
for 2010, 4% thereafter |
$322 |
$431 |
$480 |
$530 |
$582 |
| 21% increase
for 2010, 4% thereafter |
$322 |
$466 |
$517 |
$568 |
$621 |
Projected
Treated, IAWP Rates
| |
01/01/09 |
01/01/10 |
01/01/11 |
01/01/12 |
01/01/13 |
| 15% increase
for 2010, 4% thereafter |
$465 |
$580 |
$635 |
$691 |
$749 |
| 21% increase
for 2010, 4% thereafter |
$465 |
$615 |
$672 |
$729 |
$788 |
Note that these are wholesale
water rates charged by Metropolitan to its member agencies. Local water
rates will be higher and will vary by local agency.
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